Line Lab Research

Research

Long-form investigations from our lab — including, especially, the ones that didn't work. Negative results are the most expensive content in this industry, because nobody selling picks can afford to publish them. We can.

We Went Looking for Sharp Money on Polymarket. Here's What $80M of On-Chain Tape Told Us.

Thursday, June 11, 2026

Sportsbook betting splits live behind paywalls. Polymarket is a transparent exchange where every trade is public, forever. So we asked: can the blockchain replace — or beat — the sharp-money signal? One day, three experiments, ~500,000 settled fills. The answers surprised us twice.